And the madness continues!
We had our fabulous Las Vegas Conference last weekend so we're a bit behind this month and we ended the week at record highs. Our September Trade Review (Part 2) wasn't done until 11/2 anyway and Part 1 of September was completed on Oct 13th, when the market was just beginning to fly. (Chart by Dave Fry) We called the September action almost perfectly and, out of 112 trade ideas for the month, 96 (85%) were winners – an incredible percentage that actually improved upon August's 81%!
For some reason, people think I'm too bearish but that's because our SHORT-TERM Portfolio is full of bearish offsets to the bulk of our positions, which are NOT tracked until the reviews, because they are longer-term trades or day trades. Also, if we tried to track 112 additional trade ideas per month, we'd be just about getting to February now!
Options are not like stocks, we don't want 1,000 people all following the same trade (as I noted last month as well). That's why PSW is an educational site where our goal is to teach you to identify your own opportunities to BE THE HOUSE, Not the Gambler. By putting up an average of 5 trade ideas every trading day - we give our Members a huge variety of trade ideas that can fill in any portfolio. These trade ideas are highlighted daily in our Member Chat Room at PSW! Keep in mind that this is an arbitrary point in time and some trades could have had better (or worse) exits in between – we're not doing this to keep score, just to get an idea of what worked and what didn't in the past month so, hopefully, we can make better decisions this month.
We left off on Friday, September 20th and we were bearish and catching a nice market turn lower.