I was just catching up on the old post. I don’t think they’ll break $500 but we’ll have to see. At this point I’ve been picking up $490 puts at $2.25, now $3.50 with 20% of my profits as my calls are May and later and can stand a $5 drop.
GOOG spread – May $480s are surprisingly cheap right now at $20, we’ll have to keep our eye on this but would be best if it drops to lower $480s. If that doesn’t happen we’ve got the choice of buying out Apr $470s and holding in-the-money calls for about a $13 premium or cutting back 90% of the position and leaving the one call open (more realistic for $10KP players) or rolling the caller to the May $490s for $14, which puts us in for $3 (the $2 we collected yesterday plus the $14 we get today less the $19 we have to give the caller) and we make anythign over $483 up to $490. The last is my move for the $10KP if we don’t get a pullback but not everyone is allowed to make that kind of trade.
Of course I will attempt to time it but I’m waiting for the $485 to hit – if it does.
IBM is another good example, someone is selling this thing like it’s life or death to flush out the calls and I’m moving to the May $95s for $1.20 if I can.
Check out MCD – that’s a shocker, also opening up an opportunity for the May $47.50s at $1.45 (.80 premium)
DIA – rolling up EOD to $129s – for .30, so far the insurance was well worth it…