16.7 C
New York
Friday, November 8, 2024

Expiration Day Game Plan

$10KP – This is the end of this $10KP, we start a new one on Monday, open positions will go to the STP with the exception of DNDN which will go to my stock virtual portfolio.

  • DNDN – I’m still hoping for a jackpot on the calls but the June $7.50s are .38 so I’ll be selling 1/2 my posiiton in those eventually as that’s a pretty good monthly return on $6.
  • EBAY – I think they are pinned so letting the Jun $32.50s ride
  • FDX – have to pick a spot to buy out $105 caller.
  • GENZ – caller goes worthless have to hope for recovery on J $67.50s
  • HLYS – caller deal, Aug looks dead too!
  • ICE – cutting it close!  $1.25 stop on May caller, now .85
  • JDSU – hopeless
  • OXPS – holding leaps naked for bounce, will move to LTP
  • TASR – holding naked for now.  June $10s are .25, sell half at .40

The STP and LTP moves are assuming a flat market.  If we have some insane rally I may be more inclined to just raise my DIA protects to $134 or $135 puts but in a drop I will continue to use 20% of profit stops to cut back positions.  Positions not mentioned are not changing.  Obviously I will try to get a little more or pay a little less for each position but these are the numbers I see right now (6am):

STP

  • AUY – DD on Jan ’09 $15s at $2.90
  • BBY – sell Jun $57.50s for $1.30
  • BIDU – cutting it close on $130 caller, since I will roll not too worried about a run so unless there’s a big move I will ride him out.
  • CCJ – I still think it’s pinned
  • COP/Other oil puts – I am hoping for a big drop after the holiday weekend so I’m inclined to DD when I get to 1/2
  • CSCO – DD at .22
  • DIA June $134 puts – I find it very strange that these have not lost more value.  I’m inclined to stop out on mo at $1.25 and try to buy $135 puts at the top (maybe $1.50 or less)
  • DNA – waiting for a comeback to sell (I hope)
  • FIZ – buying Oct $15 for $1.35
  • IGW DD at .55
  • MRVL – sell June $17.50s into excitement (if any)
  • OSK – cutting it close
  • QCOM – right on the money
  • RIMM – spending $1 to move to June $145 put
  • SHLD – selling June $180s for $5 against June $190s ($2, now $1.50) but protected by Sept $195s and Jan $200s (earnings on 5/31)
  • SNE – pinned?  Buying a few more June $55s at $1.40
  •  TM – possible roll down to $120 putter?
  •  TSO – very strange Aug $110 put did not lose money yesterday.  Might scalp quick sell of $115 puts if we get a good dip and the premium is > $1
  • VIX – selling June $17s for .65
  • WFR – spending $2 to move to Jan $60s, selling June $60s for $2.95
  • WYNN – need to watch May $95 caller closely
  • XOM – might make mo play out of selling $85 puts if it goes higher (I have dead $75 puts)

 LTP

  • AIG – very unhappy with premiums on short calls – considering killing leaps
  • CAT – rolling Jan ’09 $60s to Jan ’09 $75s and selling 1/2 June $75s for $2
  • CC selling 1/2 July $15s for $1.45
  • COF selling 1/2 June $75s for $3.50 (notice I am in doubt so I’m selling 1/2)
  • FXI – must take out May $114 caller – will roll if we close down but not up
  • GDX – selling June $40s for .65
  • GE – Plastics!
  • KO – rolling 10 May $50 at $2.20 caller to July $52.50s at $1.40
  • MOT – selling June $19s for .55
  • MTU – DD at .50
  • PGR – taking out May $20s but waiting for a bounce
  • TXN – rolling Jan ’09 $30s at $7.90 to Jan ’09 $40s at $4 and selling June $37.50s for .45
  • UNH – selling Jun $55s for $1
  • USG – selling June $50 for $1.15
  • XOM – forgot I had so many leaps, definately will try to mo play $85 puts on a run (should have done this yesterday!).

Google Virtual Portfolio

  • Letting my stock get called away (tying up too much cash)
  • May put spread will die with a .50 profit
  • That just leaves Jun $500 and Sept $510s, might sell $490s on a run up but have to be > $10

 

MSFT buying AQNT!!!!  Huge news (85% premium), makes Goog look smart.  Going to buy MSFT on the dip as they overpay to catch up to GOOG.  VCLK is last competitor and $30s could be good mo play (or $35s even).  This is why shorting almost anything is so dangerous in this market!

 

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