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Saturday, November 16, 2024

Long Term Virtual Portfolio Review

Here’s a quick review of my intended adjustments to the LTP:

 

Description Qty Basis Current Price / Target Plan
 
Jan 2009 95 CALL [BA @ $96.94 $1.35] 40 $12.60 $14.80  Fly Naked!
Jan 2008 17.5 CALL [BSX @ $13.85 $-0.29] 20 $1.00 $0.25 That WAS the bounce – dead stock
Jan 2008 17.5 CALL [CC @ $8.32 $-0.25] 40 $0.70 $0.00  Deader than Dead
Jan 2008 22.5 CALL [CC @ $8.32 $-0.25] 40 $1.10 $0.00   Deader than Dead
Jan 2008 37.5 CALL [CHK @ $38.39 $0.79] 20 $1.35 $2.65  Hurricane Insurance
Mar 2008 30 CALL [CY @ $32.94 $2.03] 20 $3.30 $5.20  We got our good news – let it ride
Jan 2009 43 CALL [GDX @ $47.40 $0.94] 5 $2.30 $10.40  Rolling to 20 $48s/ Selling 49s soon
Jan 2009 17.5 CALL [MOT @ $19.31 $0.01] 50 $1.25 $3.85  Nov $20s at .60
Jan 2009 25 CALL [MRVL @ $17.91 $0.43] 30 $0.35 $1.30  Ready for lift-off I hope!
Jan 2008 12.5 CALL [MTU @ $8.88 $0.11] 30 $0.72 $0.00  Dead
Jan 2008 7.5 CALL [SCI @ $13.50 $-0.03] 10 $2.15 $5.90  Will convert to stock
Jan 2009 25 CALL [STX @ $27.40 $0.39] 20 $5.90 $5.80  New
 
Jan 2008 150 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] 60 $16.80 $31.10  
Nov 150 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] -60 $9.10 $26.70  Waiting for earnings
Jan 2010 150 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] 10 $35.00 $60.70  
Nov 165 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] -10 $2.00 $15.75   Waiting for earnings
Jan 2008 175 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] 160 $4.40 $16.25  
Nov 170 CALL [AAPL @ $173.50 $0.75] -160 $1.72 $12.75   Waiting for earnings
Jan 2009 60 CALL [AXP @ $58.66 $-1.42] 10 $8.70 $8.40  
Oct 60 CALL [AXP @ $58.66 $-1.42] -10 $1.60 $0.20  Hoping for bounce
Jan 2010 30 CALL [BMY @ $29.58 $-0.25] 15 $2.40 $3.65  
Oct 30 CALL [BMY @ $29.58 $-0.25] -15 $0.55 $0.05  Expecting good earnings
 Jan 2009 15 CALL [BSX @ $13.85 $-0.29] 50 $2.00 $2.20  
Oct 12.5 CALL [BSX @ $13.85 $-0.29] -50 $0.75 $1.45  Disaster – roll to Nov $12.50
Jan 2008 17.5 CALL [BSX @ $13.85 $-0.29] 20 $1.00 $0.25  
Oct 12.5 CALL [BSX @ $13.85 $-0.29] -20 $0.75 $1.45  Disaster – roll to Nov $12.50
Jan 2009 55 CALL [C @ $43.83 $-0.83] 20 $0.60 $1.80   How low can it go?
Oct 47.5 CALL [C @ $43.83 $-0.83] -20 $1.20 $0.03 $45s for $1 (roll down if bad(er))
Jan 2009 80 CALL [CAT @ $77.66 $0.53] 20 $11.75 $10.35  
Jan 2008 80 CALL [CAT @ $77.66 $0.53] -20 $2.50 $4.20  Rolling to Nov $75 (better premium)
Jan 2009 45 CALL [COH @ $42.70 $-0.40] 10 $4.92 $6.90  
Oct 42.5 CALL [COH @ $42.70 $-0.40] -10 $1.00 $0.55  Wait for next week (hope it’s pinned)
Jan 2009 55 CALL [HPQ @ $52.87 $0.33] 10 $6.00 $6.80  
Oct 52.5 CALL [HPQ @ $52.87 $0.33] -10 $0.55 $0.55  Going naked for earnings
Jan 2009 65 CALL [JNJ @ $64.90 $0.05] 10 $3.55 $5.60  
Oct 65 CALL [JNJ @ $64.90 $0.05] -10 $1.30 $0.15  Nov $65s at $1.02, stop at $1.25
Jan 2008 35 CALL [M @ $31.38 $-0.38] 20 $2.65 $1.55  
Oct 35 CALL [M @ $31.38 $-0.38] -20 $1.05 $0.05  Nov $32.50 at $1.30
Jan 2009 50 CALL [MCO @ $47.10 $-0.20] 10 $6.60 $7.70  
Oct 45 CALL [MCO @ $47.10 $-0.20] -10 $2.80 $2.20  Nov $45s at $3.90
Jan 2009 50 CALL [MDT @ $48.94 $-0.78] 10 $7.00 $5.50  
Oct 50 CALL [MDT @ $48.94 $-0.78] -10 $0.75 $0.10  Hoping for a bounce
Nov 20 CALL [PGR @ $18.63 $-0.23] 30 $2.75 $0.20  Triple Down at .20 (for fun)
Oct 20 CALL [PGR @ $18.63 $-0.23] -30 $0.50 $0.05  Dead
Jan 2009 30 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] 20 $3.40 $2.70  
Oct 27.5 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] -20 $0.70 $0.05  Waiting
Jan 2009 25 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] 40 $3.45 $5.10  
Oct 27.5 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] -40 $0.95 $0.05  Taking this off Table (adj. double)
Jan 2009 25 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] 10 $5.70 $5.10  
Oct 27.5 CALL [SBUX @ $26.66 $0.26] -10 $0.70 $0.05  I say they break $30 by Dec
Jan 2009 15 CALL [SHFL @ $14.50 $-0.11] 20 $3.20 $3.10  
Oct 15 CALL [SHFL @ $14.50 $-0.11] -20 $1.25 $0.05  This has to be a floor!
Jan 2009 20 CALL [SHFL @ $14.50 $-0.11] 20 $2.30 $1.40  
Oct 15 CALL [SHFL @ $14.50 $-0.11] -20 $0.60 $0.05  I’m giving them some time.
Jan 2010 60 CALL [SNDK @ $50.31 $1.24] 10 $1.10 $11.00  
Oct 50 CALL [SNDK @ $50.31 $1.24] -10 $2.00 $2.55  I LOVE this stock!  Wait for bounce.
Jan 2008 15 CALL [TASR @ $16.51 $-0.18] 100 $1.23 $3.00  Taser will outperform GOOG in ’08
Oct 17.5 CALL [TASR @ $16.51 $-0.18] -100 $1.20 $0.05  Will have to go longer, not selling.
Jan 2009 35 CALL [TXN @ $34.40 $-0.63] 20 $0.85 $4.85  
Nov 35 CALL [TXN @ $34.40 $-0.63] -20 $1.80 $0.98  Going well
Jan 2009 75 CALL [UTX @ $77.43 $0.63] 15 $6.00 $11.10  
Nov 80 CALL [UTX @ $77.43 $0.63] -15 $2.25 $1.20  On target
Jan 2008 60 CALL [WFR @ $62.38 $-0.63] 10 $1.10 $7.50  
Nov 65 CALL [WFR @ $62.38 $-0.63] -10 $3.00 $3.00  On target
Jan 2010 70 CALL [WFR @ $62.38 $-0.63] 20 $1.30 $15.90  
Nov 65 CALL [WFR @ $62.38 $-0.63] -20 $3.00 $3.00  On target
Jan 2009 50 CALL [WMT @ $45.89 $-0.10] 20 $3.65 $3.60  
Nov 45 CALL [WMT @ $45.89 $-0.10] -20 $3.10 $1.95  If they break $47.50, Roll to $47.50s
 
Mar 2008 310 PUT [BIDU @ $320.00 $3.80] 5 $48.90 $48.70  
Oct 310 PUT [BIDU @ $320.00 $3.80] -5 $21.00 $2.85  I LOVE this stock!
Jun 2008 52 PUT [QQQQ @ $53.78 $0.23] 100 $2.50 $2.80  
Nov 52 PUT [QQQQ @ $53.78 $0.23] -100 $1.15 $0.62  Holding naked for weekend at least
Jan 2008 95 PUT [XOM @ $95.05 $0.25] 400 $5.44 $4.40  
Oct 95 PUT [XOM @ $95.05 $0.25] -400 $1.20 $0.50  Tight stops today, then naked

On SNDK, for example, when I say wait for bounce, I mean before selling new calls.  As to existing callers that get toasted, well I think many of you have learned on both sides this week why Rule #1 is "ALWAYS sell into the initial excitement" and how that applies to taking out your putters and callers as well.

 

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