17.4 C
New York
Sunday, November 17, 2024

$25KP Review

I’m going to run this like an LTP review as there’s lots to consider so I’ll make a comment under each position

Early morning futures indicate positive moves in the US but Europe is falling apart and I don’t see enough to really hold us up if they are buckling under growth concerns that I mentioned yesterday but are only starting to matter today (the same with the investment in C which is suddenly a lead story 24 hours later) "S’ means sold short:

Description Type Cost Basis Opened Sale Price Closed Days Gain/Loss $ %
AAPL
10 DEC 07 150.00 AAPL PUT (APVXJ) O $ 4,710.00 11/15/2007 $ 1,750.00   12
$ -2,960.00 -62.8 %
10 DEC 07 165.00 AAPL PUT (APVXM) S $ 5,200.00 11/15/2007 $ 12,740.00   12
$ 7,540.00 59.2 %
10 DEC 07 165.00 AAPL CALL (APVLM) S $ 13,300.00 11/15/2007 $ 11,990.00   12
$ -1,310.00 -10.9 %
10 DEC 07 175.00 AAPL CALL (APVLO) O $ 6,160.00 11/15/2007 $ 7,500.00   12
$ 1,340.00 21.8 %
5 DEC 07 150.00 AAPL PUT (APVXJ) O $ 2,160.00 11/19/2007 $ 875.00   8
$ -1,285.00 -59.5 %
5 DEC 07 180.00 AAPL CALL (APVLP) O $ 2,185.00 11/19/2007 $ 2,700.00   8
$ 515.00 23.6 %
5 DEC 07 175.00 AAPL CALL (APVLO) S $ 3,850.00 11/20/2007 $ 3,190.00   7
$ -660.00 -20.7 %
5 APR 08 170.00 AAPL CALL (APVDN) O $ 10,860.00 11/20/2007 $ 13,050.00   7
$ 2,190.00 20.2 %
5 DEC 07 165.00 AAPL CALL (APVLM) S $ 6,650.00 11/20/2007 $ 6,240.00   7
$ -410.00 -6.6 %
5 DEC 07 155.00 AAPL PUT (APVXK) O $ 1,760.00 11/20/2007 $ 1,270.00   7
$ -490.00 -27.8 %
5 DEC 07 145.00 AAPL PUT (APVXI) S $ 635.00 11/20/2007 $ 6,115.00   7
$ 5,480.00 89.6 %
5 DEC 07 180.00 AAPL CALL (APVLP) O $ 2,760.00 11/26/2007 $ 2,700.00   1
$ -60.00 -2.2 %
Gosh, what a mess.  At least it’s up almost $10K overall but these get very hard to follow.  To close or not to close the 10 put side (up $5K), that is the question.   There’s still $3.5K to make there but only if we finish over $165 while the 10 call side is even at the moment.  I’ll have to run this down as a whole separate thing as it’s way to complicated for this space…
$ 9,890.00 16.4 %
CAKE
20 APR 08 22.50 CAKE CALL (CFQDX) O $ 4,710.00 11/19/2007 $ 4,900.00   8
$ 190.00 4.0 %
20 DEC 07 22.50 CAKE CALL (CFQLX) S $ 2,300.00 11/19/2007 $ 1,790.00   8
$ -510.00 -28.5 %
CAKE is having a tough time at the 50 dma at $23.20 AS EXPECTED so let’s hope they keep consolidating down here as we don’t want a breakout this month.
$ -320.00 -4.6 %
DIA
10 JAN 08 129.00 DIA PUT (DAWMY) O $ 4,210.00 11/23/2007 $ 5,200.00   4
$ 990.00 23.5 %
You guys know I would have been all over selling puts against these into yesterday’s drop, we have to drill these until you do it by reflex!  They only cost $4.20 and someone was willing to give us $3.20 back for puts that were $2 further off the money – that’s a virtual guarantee that you will win this position!  Our goal is to win, size does not matter, not losing matters…  If you can learn to take 50 sure things a year for 10% each rather than letting them ride, I can assure you it will have a positive impact on your virtual portfolio! 
$ 990.00 23.5 %
GOOG
6 DEC 07 710.00 GOOG PUT (GOQXB) S $ 32,880.00 11/5/2007 $ 26,114.00   22
$ -6,766.00 -25.9 %
6 DEC 07 690.00 GOOG PUT (GOQXR) O $ 14,410.00 11/5/2007 $ 24,360.00   22
$ 9,950.00 69.0 %
2 DEC 07 730.00 GOOG CALL (GOQLF) O $ 7,530.00 11/6/2007 $ 1,500.00   21
$ -6,030.00 -80.1 %
2 DEC 07 710.00 GOOG CALL (GOQLB) S $ 2,480.00 11/6/2007 $ 10,270.00   21
$ 7,790.00 75.9 %
5 JAN 08 660.00 GOOG CALL (GOOAL) O $ 21,260.00 11/13/2007 $ 24,050.00   14
$ 2,790.00 13.1 %
5 DEC 07 650.00 GOOG CALL (GOOLJ) S $ 19,700.00 11/20/2007 $ 15,840.00   7
$ -3,860.00 -24.4 %
Not as messy as AppleFly but still messy, I’ll deal with these later.  There’s 2 plays here, the Apr/Dec calendar, which is fine(ish) and the unfinished Googlefly which we can start buying 2 more $710 calls on at $7.50 I think (again, later).
$ 3,874.00 3.9 %
HMY
60 JAN 08 10.00 HMY CALL (HMYAB) O $ 6,610.00 10/24/2007 $ 4,500.00   34
$ -2,110.00 -31.9 %
60 DEC 07 10.00 HMY CALL (HMYLB) S $ 3,300.00 10/24/2007 $ 5,690.00   34
$ 2,390.00 42.0 %
Cutting this one kind of close, hoping for pin action into expiration.
$ 280.00 2.8 %
LVS
10 JAN 08 115.00 LVS CALL (LVSAC) O $ 25,610.00 10/29/2007 $ 6,300.00   29
$ -19,310.00 -75.4 %
10 DEC 07 115.00 LVS CALL (LVSLC) S $ 3,800.00 11/20/2007 $ 6,790.00   7
$ 2,990.00 44.0 %
Double roll down to the $110s, should be an even trade.
$ -16,320.00 -55.5 %
MSFT
10 JAN 08 35.00 MSFT CALL (MSQAG) O $ 1,180.00 11/19/2007 $ 790.00   8
$ -390.00 -33.1 %
10 JAN 08 35.00 MSFT CALL (MSQAG) O $ 1,180.00 11/20/2007 $ 790.00   7
$ -390.00 -33.1 %
10 DEC 07 35.00 MSFT CALL (MSQLG) S $ 360.00 11/20/2007 $ 700.00   7
$ 340.00 48.6 %
Rolling caller to 10 $32.50s for +$1 but no change to our calls just yet.
$ -440.00 -16.2 %
NFLX
20 JAN 08 25.00 NFLX CALL (QNQAE) O $ 4,150.00 11/13/2007 $ 1,000.00   14
$ -3,150.00 -75.9 %
Dead end of a spread, we’re not chasing but hoping for a recovery.
$ -3,150.00 -75.9 %
PFE
40 MAR 08 22.50 PFE CALL (PFECX) O $ 6,210.00 11/19/2007 $ 5,000.00   8
$ -1,210.00 -19.5 %
People aren’t buying safety stocks?  I can wait on these.
$ -1,210.00 -19.5 %
SHLD
4 DEC 07 125.00 SHLD CALL (KTQLE) 5 $ 660.00 11/20/2007 $ 1,270.00   7
$ 610.00 48.0 %
4 MAR 08 120.00 SHLD CALL (KTQCD) O $ 4,550.00 11/20/2007 $ 3,360.00   7
$ -1,190.00 -26.2 %
They thought Eddie’s losing it buying C with me but we’ll see!  Time is on our side so we’ll roll ourselves down to the $110s for $4 in preparation for rolling our caller down on a good bounce back near $115 (like yesterday’s open and Friday’s close). 
$ -580.00 -11.1 %
T
5 APR 08 42.50 T CALL (TDV) O $ 1,510.00 9/27/2007 $ 395.00   61
$ -1,115.00 -73.8 %
10 DEC 07 40.00 T CALL (TLH) S $ 2,050.00 9/27/2007 $ 200.00   61
$ -1,850.00 -90.2 %
5 JAN 08 40.00 T CALL (TAH) O $ 260.00 10/19/2007 $ 1,415.00   39
$ 1,155.00 81.6 %
WTF?  It’s the Decembers that are technically uncovered and we’ll have to let those die barring a miracle.  We may as well take out the Jans for .50 and roll down the Aprils to the $37.50s for +$1.60 as this is a 4% dividend payer with a p/e of 19 and 18% growth so I’m willing to go down in flames with this one!    
$ -1,810.00 -47.4 %
TSO
5 JAN 08 57.50 TSO PUT (TSOMZ) O $ 2,510.00 10/19/2007 $ 3,850.00   39
$ 1,340.00 53.4 %
5 DEC 07 55.00 TSO PUT (TSOXK) S $ 2,850.00 11/16/2007 $ 2,040.00   11
$ -810.00 -39.7 %

The putter still has a $2 premium, I’m not worried but it would have been nice to stop him out…

$ 530.00 9.9 %
Total Gain/Loss
$ -8,266.00 -3.5 %

 

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