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IS CHINA THE ACHILLES HEEL?
Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist
Great piece of research here out of Societe General. Is China, the supposed engine of global growth, actually the biggest risk to the global recovery?
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/lib/data/filecache/attachment/G/l/Global-Strategy-Weekly-06-16-09.pdf
*****
"Most areas in the markets have now discounted a V-shaped recovery. Any doubt will trigger a rapid reversal in prices. I continue to be extremely sceptical and see recent events as part of a 1930s-like, long march to revulsion. Talking about long marches, nowhere in the world fills me with more scepticism than the Chinese economic recovery. The continued enthusiasm for all things China reminds me so much of the way investors were almost totally blind to the fact the US growth miracle was built on sand. China could be the biggest disappointment yet."
Full report here.