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Tuesday, December 24, 2024

The Oxen Report: Recap of the Week, Virtual Portfolio Update

Hey everyone. Well, the week was definitely interesting one for the market. We had some real home runs and one real dud in this week of The Oxen Report. Let’s take some time to review what we did this week and what we can expect from the market next week.

Winners of the Week:

1. Aeropostale Inc. (ARO) – Our Monday Buy Pick of the Day was a winner for us. On Monday, we recommended Aeropostale as a strong play because we were excited about the retail sector. On Monday, however, it was getting the kind of movement I thought it should get. Therefore, in my Midday Alert on Monday for Oxen Alert members, I recommended holding this one overnight into Tuesday. The hold worked brilliant. With an entry on Monday at 31.50, we were able to exit at 32.13 for a solid 2% gain. 

2. Direxion Daily Energy Bear ETF (ERY) – Our Short Sale of the Day for Monday was also a quick winner. We saw that there was a big gain in oil and a weak dollar in Monday morning before the market opened. That meant there should be good movement in this 3x ETF to the downside, but it was not there. It created a great value play on some unpriced movement. We were right. Got in the morning at 11.85 and exited at 11.51 for the quick 3% gain. 

3. Ultrashort Proshares Oil and Gas ETF (DUG) – On Wednesday, we continued a play on oil as we saw the inventories coming out worse than expected from the API. The market was also looking down, and it looked like a solid buy in the morning. We got in at 12.40, looking for a 12.65 – 12.78 exit. We did not hit our 2% range, but we still sold off at the end of the day for a gain at 12.55 for 1.25%. 

4. Big Lots Inc. (BIG) – The Gamble of the Day on Thursday was in Big Lots Inc. (BIG). THIS WAS OUR BIG WINNER OF THE WEEK. We got into BIG on Thursday afternoon at 23.75. The stock we sold at 9:30 AM on Friday for the overnight gain after the company reported extremely solid earnings. We sold at 27.00. That was a gain of 9.5%. It was a solid play, and I hope you all benefitted from it. We may do more of these picks again. We have had some big winners! 

Our Misses, Ouch:

1.  RF Micro Devices (RFMD) – On Wednesday, we were expecting a large pullback in the market and technology sector after a very weak unemployment report was released. We picked a highly overvalued stock that was getting even more added buyers for a huge pullback. I was wrong. The stock popped above our entry at 5.00 and continued to rise. It came down and closed right at 5.00, so we gained nothing. Lost money on the transaction fees. I mark this as a miss.

 

LSI Technologies was not included in the list because I did not recommend any kind of entry or exit point. It would have most likely been a miss, so we will count it as a dud.

Basically, we went 4/5 this week! With an almost 10% gain on one of our picks. Hope you all made some money!

Good Investing,

David Ristau

 

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