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Friday, January 10, 2025

Another Upward Revision As Strike Factors Are Removed Leaves Initial Claims Posts Above 400k For The 20th Time Of Last 21

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Following last week’s somewhat twilight zone-like Verizon-strike-driven confusion, today’s initial claims report (once again revised upwards) makes for 20 of the last 21 weeks above 400k and its highest (yet to be revised upwards) since 7/15. The four-week average, oft cited to smooth this revision-prone series, rose for the first time since 6/24. While initial claims was a very small beat of expectations (at 409k versus exp 410k), continuing claims (which was rather ubiquitously revised up once again) missed expectations by a rather wide margin coming at 3735k versus 3681k expected (though some will claim still a drop from last week’s upwardly revised 3753k but let’s just wait till next week’s upward revision before we celebrate that). Extended and EUC ticked up just a little from 3637.8k to 3675.9k but remains more than 1.2mm lower than a year ago – still fewer comfortable consumers to spend.

Of course the market’s newly re-programmed response of worse is better has kicked into high gear as ES drifts higher on weak economic data.

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