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Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Reports Say Global Economy Slowing (XLI, IYC, EFA, EWP, EWU)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Economic News Say Global Economy Slowing

Economic reports start week with indications of global economic slowdown while all eyes look to Brussels

At home, the November ISM Services sector declined to a reading of 52 from last month’s 52.9 as the services sector (NYSEARCA:IYC) and this level is the lowest print in nearly two years, since January, 2010, as service sector employers continue a cautious profile.

Factory Orders for October declined -0.4% from last month’s +0.3%, indicating a potential trouble spot for the manufacturing  and industrial sector (NYSEARCA:XLI) which has been a perennial bright spot in the economic recovery to date.

Overseas, Europe (NYSEARCA:EFA) continues heading towards recession as the Euro Zone PMI clocked in at 47, its third monthly decline in a row as the economy slows and the PMI stays below the 50 level that separates economic growth from contraction.

Italy appears to be the weakest economy, followed by Spain,(NYSEARCA:EWP) and it appears that even economic powerhouse Germany is slowing which makes the job of reforming the Euro Zone all the more difficult.  Across the Channel, Britain (NYSEARCA:EWU) reported a rise in its October PMI to 52.1% from a previous 51.3%.

However, the really important news came from Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy as they agreed on a plan for a new  European Union treaty leading up to their “last chance” summit later this week.  Markets around the world responded with substantial gains and Italian bond yields dropped below 6%, now well below the 7% level regarded as unsustainable.  For today, it’s all about avoiding global disaster in Europe and market players are betting that the week will end with good news from Brussels.

Disclaimer:  Wall Street Sector Selector actively trades a wide range of exchange traded funds (ETFs) and positions can change at any time.

 

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