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Thursday, December 19, 2024

Hopium Hates Details

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner

"The world over, governments and central banks are waging war on supply and demand- on the price mechanism."  – James Grant, interview here starts at 4:30

On the real economy and the hopium hates details front:, fuel demand is down, and aircraft, like autos, is in a huge inventory stuffing mode. 

US Jet Fuel Demand 4-wk avg= 1.4 mmbbl/d, DOWN 0.4% over yr ago

Gasoline demand 4-wk avg at 8.7 mmbbl/d; DOWN 4.2% from yr ago





 

The KC survey of Midwest manufacturing activity is showing the impact of the bloated inventory situation.  April expectations are rolling over hard. Production was 35 in February, falling to 26 in April. Backlog of orders in February was 24 to 6 in April. Finished inventories 6 in February, minus 4 in April with a long ways to go. Workweek 7 in February to minus 6 in April.

Price paid raw materials remain sky high at 54. Whirlpool states they are seeing a lot of inflationary pressure. That's the other aspect of the hall of mirrors Bernanke put,  the players hoard or substitute for money.  China's copper-hoarding tendencies might be funny if they didn't threaten to "destroy the world as we know it," FT's Izabella Kaminska writes. Visitors are said to be "astounded" by how much copper is stored in warehouses;  Standard Chartered estimates "total copper inventory in China, which includes inventory outside of the bonded areas, has reached about 1M tonnes (mt)."

This is what a central bank/Ministry of Truth command and control maladjusted 'conomy looks like.

 

 

For additional analysis on many topics, including trading ideas, subscribe to Russ Winter’s Actionable – risk free for 30 days. Click here for more information.  

Copyright © 2012 The Wall Street Examiner. All Rights Reserved. The above may be reposted with attribution and a prominent link to the The Wall Street Examiner.

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