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Friday, November 1, 2024

Boogeymen and Fake Reforms

Courtesy of Mish.

Earlier today I received an email from Jonathan Ingram at the Illinois Policy Institute that I wish to share. The email is regarding the sorry state of Illinois Pensions.

Dear Mish

Illinois has a long history of fake reforms – legislative proposals that promise to solve the great policy challenges of the day when passed, but never actually accomplish these goals and often make problems worse.

In the mid-1990s, Illinois lawmakers were facing a serious problem: the unfunded liability of the state’s five public pension systems had reached $20 billion.

As a way to combat this growing problem, the state created a repayment schedule, often called the “pension ramp.”

The pension ramp, which was passed by the Republican-controlled General Assembly and signed into law by former Republican Gov. Jim Edgar, promised to reach 90% funding levels by 2045.

According to the repayment schedule, the five systems should be nearly 57% funded today. Instead, the systems are just 39% funded and the state’s pension debt has grown to $95 billion.

What happened?

You’ll often hear that the pension debt was caused by the state “skipping pension payments.” What you won’t hear is that taxpayers have actually paid $8 billion more than the original ramp projected.

How can the five pension systems be just 39% funded?

The systems simply weren’t able to get the kinds of returns they promised and the underlying actuarial assumptions didn’t reflect reality….

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