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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Behold the Trading Avalanche Unleashed by the Chicago PMI Headline

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

As most know, the whopping beat of a Chicago PMI print that was made public at 9:45 am was first released to subscribers – read HFT trading firms – some three minutes earlier.

Remember: Chicago is located about a 100 miles from Milwaukee, whose PMI today crashed from 48.43 to 40.67 – what a difference a "legitimate" city makes.

As an aside, putting the number in other regional Fed and PMI context, here it is via John Lohman:

What most may not know is just how massive the pent up deluge of trades was behind this number. Courtesy of Nanex we know. Because during just 1 second of time at 9:42:00, the following trade counts were recorded:

  •     550,000 SPY shares
  •     10,000 June 2013 eMini futures contracts
  •     1,400 Nasdaq 100 futures contracts
  •     800 Dow Jones futures contracts
  •     350 Russell 2000 futures contracts
  •     125 S&P 400 Midcap futures contracts
  •     300 Crude Oil futures contracts
  •     900 Dollar Index futures contracts
  •     800 Gold futures contracts
  •     10,000 10yr T-Note futures contracts
  •     2,500 5yr T-Note futures contracts
  •     3,500 T-Bond futures contracts
  •     5,000 Eurodollar futures contracts
  •     750 Japanese Yen futures contracts
  •     600 Euro futures contracts

Yes: it's a headline driven market with the only variable whether or not a number is > or < than "expected."

Which is the same as the trading response when the April retail spending data hit two weeks ago, and which was just revised from a massive beat to a miss. Alas, algos aren't programmed to sell on disappointing data revisions: only to buy on beats (and in the New Normal – buy on misses).

Visually all of the above via Nanex:

June 2013 eMini Futures Depth of Book

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