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Friday, December 27, 2024

Typical Fed Volatility

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

No change to the statement as expected and Ben is speaking now.  Basically he is dovish – one takeaway which I mentioned quite a few months ago but he reiterated today.  The 6.5% unemployment rate is a threshold NOT a trigger.  What that means is if inflation is benign when 6.5% unemployment returns, the Fed will be in no rush to raise interest rates.  i.e. the goalposts are soft, nor hard.  The market rallied on that… but it’s not new news really.

Also the majority of members do not anticipate selling MBS off the balance sheet – this is part and parcel with the view that the balance sheet will not be sold down.

Thus far the rest is pretty benign, but the algos are of course going nuts.

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Any securities mentioned on this page are not held by the author in his personal portfolio. Securities mentioned may or may not be held by the author in the mutual fund he manages, the Paladin Long Short Fund (PALFX). For a list of the aforementioned fund’s holdings at the end of the prior quarter, visit the Paladin Funds website at http://www.paladinfunds.com/holdings/blog

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