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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Reader Question: “How Can One Calculate True Price Inflation?”

Courtesy of Mish.

Reader Mel writes …

Hello Mish

I really enjoy your blog.  You provide a very interesting viewpoint.  One question:  I have seen an analysis based on the old Sears catalogs of 30-50 years that shows how much more an average income can buy today versus 30-50 years ago based on actual prices in the catalog.  It is very convincing.  Do you think that is a valid approach or not?

Keep up the good work,

Mel

Hello Mel

I cannot comment on the catalog because I have not seen it. However, I will suggest that many such comparisons that I have seen are invalid.

For example, I have seen reports comparing home prices and car prices today vs. the average house or car in 1920. But how valid is such an approach?

I suggest, not very. For example …

  • How much house did you get in 1920 vs. today?
  • Did it have dual pane energy efficient windows? Appliances? Carpet? Cabinets?
  • How much electronics was in a car 50 years ago?

Would you even want to drive a 1920’s car today? Legally, you probably couldn’t, for safety reasons. Thus, all such comparisons are totally invalid.

Easy Comparisons

Food and energy costs can easily be compared.

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