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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Wall Street Is My Landlord; Blackstone’s Home Rental Bonds Yet Another Sign of Renewed Credit Bubble

Courtesy of Mish.

Blackstone Group LP, the world’s largest private equity firm, became the largest owner of rental homes in the U.S. , acquiring 41,000 homes in the past two years. In October, Blackstone offered the first-ever “rental-home-backed” security on Wall Street. The bond is backed by just a fraction — 3,207 — of the rental properties owned by Blackstone. Monthly rent checks from the properties will be used to service the $479.1 million security.

See Bloomberg’s Blackstone’s Big Bet on Rental Homes for a giant infographic.

Inquiring minds may also be interested in a related Bloomberg article, Wall Street Is My Landlord.

Let’s focus on the credit aspect of what’s in the Blackstone/Deutsche “Invitation Homes“, first-ever rent-based bond offering. Here is a snip from the gigantic infographic in the first link above.

Invitation Homes Bond Offering

What do investors get for their money?

A Bond Credit Rating Table courtesy of Wikipedia will help explain.

Moody’s S&P Fitch Rating Description
Long-term Short-term Long-term Short-term Long-term Short-term
Aaa P-1 AAA A-1+ AAA F1+ Prime
Aa1 AA+ AA+ High grade
Aa2 AA AA
Aa3 AA- AA-
A1 A+ A-1 A+ F1 Upper medium grade
A2 A A
A3 P-2 A- A-2 A- F2
Baa1 BBB+ BBB+ Lower medium grade
Baa2 P-3 BBB A-3 BBB F3
Baa3 BBB- BBB-
Ba1 Not prime BB+ B BB+ B Non-Investment Grade Speculative
Ba2 BB BB
Ba3 BB- BB-
B1 B+ B+ Highly Speculative
B2 B B
B3 B- B-
Caa1 CCC+ C CCC C Substantial Risks
Caa2 CCC Extremely Speculative
Caa3 CCC- Default Imminent with Little Prospect for Recovery
Ca CC
C
C D / DDD / In Default
/ DD
/ D

Whether or not one really belies the Aaa tranche truly deserves that rating, all those investors get is a coupon rate of 1.314%.

Those buying the class “D” offering, rated Baa2, get a “lower medium grade” bond, two steps above junk (again assuming the class really deserves that rating).  Those investors get a 2.314% return.

Classes E and F, both “unrated” are highly likely to be pure garbage in my estimation.  …

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