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Saturday, January 11, 2025

Employment vs. Jobs Discrepancy – December 2013 Data

Courtesy of Mish.

The wide discrepancy between jobs and employment continues for a third month.

Jobs vs. Employment Discussion

Before diving into the details, it is important to understand limits on data, and how the BLS measures jobs in the establishment survey vs. employment in the household survey.

Establishment Survey: If you work one hour that counts as a job. There is no difference between one hour and 50 hours.
Establishment Survey: If you work multiple jobs you are counted twice. Neither the BLS nor ADP  weed out duplicate social security numbers.

Household Survey: If you work one hour or 80 you are employed.
Household Survey: If you work a total of 35 hours you are considered a full time employee. If you work 25 hours at one job and 10 hours at another, you are a fulltime employee.

Following are numbers from today’s BLS jobs releases.

December 2013 vs. December Prior Years

Category DEC 2008 DEC 2009 DEC 2010 DEC 2011 DEC 2012 DEC 2013
Employed Household 143,369 138,013 139,266 140,836 143,212 144,586
Jobs Establishment 134,425 129,373 130,395 132,498 134,691 136,877

Monthly Averages December 2013 vs. December Prior Years

Category DEC 2009 DEC 2010 DEC 2011 DEC 2012 DEC 2013
Yoy Change Household (5,356) 1,253 1,570 2,376 1,374
Yoy Change establishment (5,052) 1,022 2,103 2,193 2,186
Monthly Average Household -446 104 131 198 115
Monthly Average Establishment -421 85 175 183 182

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