7 C
New York
Saturday, December 28, 2024

Top Trades for Wed, 06 May 2015 08:01

Futures up just a bit.  Oil $61.85, Dollar 94.92, gold $1,192.  

JO/Yo - I like coffee down here, it did well for us at the end of 2013 when we last bothered with the Futures on them (good for a double).  

If this isn't a bottom, it's probably near enough that we can scale in.  JO only has options out to Dec but the $20s are $4.30 and the $25s are $2.20 for net $2.10 on the $5 spread and we can pay for that by selling the $21 puts for $1.60 to net 0.50.  That's worth doing 10 in the LTP for $500 because it pays $5,000 (+950% on cash) if all goes well and, if not, then we own 1,000 shares of JO at $21.50 - nothing wrong with that either!

I agree with STJ that DBA (which we already have in the LTP) is a better overall play but, when a particular commodity gets this low - it's fun to play the ETF straight up.  

Coffee's Weakness Masks Bullish Fundamentals - Forbes

SGG/StJ - Sugar and grains are very tricky to play.  Sugar probably doing bad because cocoa is bad and that means less chocolate, though I would imagine sodas like Pepsi going back to real sugar could change that but then less corn sweeteners on the other side...

 

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