Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.
Following up on Championship Sunday... the road dogs did not treat us well, and why should they? We knew we were WAY out on a ledge.
In 58 years of Championship Games (since 1960), only six times 61, 62, 66, 92, 97, 12, or 10.3% of the time, have BOTH home teams lost. Moving West…
Sunday 3:05PM FOX
#4 GB Packers 21 @ #2 ATL Falcons 44
Spread ATL -4 OU 60
Our pick, road dog GB +4 ATS and SU. To date ATS 5-4 SU 6-3
Last week: Can either defense offer resistance? Perhaps unlike the Pokes, the Dirty Birds can get after Mr. Rodgers? This game should be a track meet reminiscent of Dan Fout’s and Air Coryell. He who makes the fewest mistakes, converts for TD’s and can pressure the other teams QB.
We sensed this could happen, but ignored it to our detriment. Early on, the Packers missed a FG and fumbled inside the ATL 10 on consecutive drives. Those 10 points hurt, but in the end the Dirty Birds wiped the turf of the Georgia Dome with Mr. Rodgers and the Sausage Stuffers.
9 Drives, 7 scores, 6 TD’s, ZERO sacks and TO’s. 3DC (3rd Down Conversion) 10-13; TOP minutes 33-26; Total Yards 493 vs 367; TOM ATL +2. End of story? Not quite, in two weeks a date at Houston’s dome with Brady and Belichick’s Minutemen awaits.
Sunday 6:40PM CBS
#3 PIT Steelers 17 @ #1 NE Patriots 36
Spread NE -6 OU 51
Our pick road dog PIT +6 ATS and SU. To date ATS 5-5 SU 6-4, ouch.
With TOM +2 for the Minutemen, not a chance the Riveters win this game. End of story? Not quite, a date with the Dirty Birds, who are a scoring machine that rarely kicks FG’s, allow sacks or make TO’s awaits.
Did you know? – Since the 1970 merger, road teams in the playoffs, with a negative TOM differential of -2 or greater, drum roll please….
have won 5 out of 131 games for a 3.8% chance of winning or 96.2% chance of losing.
Since the merger, 1970, playoff road teams with -3 TOM? 1 in 76 Road teams has lived to tell that tale. More Nattering to come on who that one team is and this subject.