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Friday, November 15, 2024

Top Trades for Wed, 20 Mar 2019 15:50 – BNS

FDX bouncing back a bit but I decided I don't like them enough to play the short puts again.  

In the Webinar, someone pointed out BNS and they are a lovely bank!  

Year End 31st Oct 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TTM 2019E 2020E CAGR / Avg
Revenue C$m 21,597 23,944 24,049 26,350 27,155 28,775 29,291 31,073 33,079 +5.9%
Operating Profit C$m 8,347 9,300 9,066 9,398 10,276 11,106 10,805     +5.9%
Net Profit C$m 6,379 7,071 7,014 7,117 8,005 8,548 8,405 8,963 9,512 +6.0%
EPS Reported C$ 5.11 5.67 5.67 5.77 6.49 6.82 6.67     +5.9%
EPS Normalised C$ 5.11 5.67 5.67 5.77 6.49 6.82 6.67 7.24 7.79 +5.9%
EPS Growth % -1.2 +10.8 +0.03 +1.7 +12.5 +5.1 -1.7 +6.16 +7.72  
PE Ratio x           10.8 11.0 10.2 9.45  
PEG x           1.75 1.79 1.32 0.81
Profitability

What's not to love?  $67.25Bn at $54.85 and they are dropping $8.7Bn to the bottom line while paying a lovely $2.65 (5%) dividend!  Apparently, on the Toronto Exchange, they have options out to 2021 so they could even be a good Butterfly play for Canadians but, in the US, options only go out until Sept but still worth it so, for the LTP let's:

  • Buy 500 shares of BNS at $54.85 ($27,425) 
  • Sell 5 BNS Sept $55 calls for $2 ($1,000) 
  • Sell 5 BNS Sept $55 puts for $2.80 ($1,400) 

That's net $25,025 ($50.05/share) and $52.525 if assigned 500 more below $55.  Of course, it's just a 6-month sale so we should be able to drop the net another $5 into next March plus the $2.65 dividend brings us down to net $42.50 if all goes well in our first year.

As a long-term investment, if we can drop our net (including dividends captured) by even 10% a year - we're 10 years away from having a free stock. 

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