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Saturday, January 11, 2025

Top Trades for Fri, 10 May 2019 11:17 – INTC

/SI/Tommy - But it's on a weak Dollar so we have to wait for the Dollar to bounce and see where /SI bottoms out.  Could get worse.

Gold is holding up well though as Central Banks are hoarding it again.

INTC/Mike - You would think $45.50 is cheap enough as that's just over $200Bn and they dropped $21Bn to the bottom line last year and this year is guided lower but only about 5% lower though now we're back to the 2018 avg price so maybe it's the mover to $59 that was silly, not the move back to $45.

Year End 29th Dec 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TTM 2019E 2020E CAGR / Avg
Revenue $m 52,708 55,870 55,355 59,387 62,761 70,848 70,843 68,660 71,693 +6.1%
Operating Profit $m 12,291 15,347 14,002 13,133 18,050 23,316 23,020     +13.7%
Net Profit $m 9,620 11,704 11,420 10,316 9,601 21,053 20,573 19,606 20,491 +17.0%
EPS Reported $ 1.89 2.31 2.33 2.12 3.10 4.41 4.36     +18.5%
EPS Normalised $ 1.92 2.36 2.39 2.40 3.16 4.40 4.35 4.29 4.58 +18.0%
EPS Growth % -9.8 +22.6 +1.4 +0.4 +31.6 +39.2 +24.3 -2.43 +6.54  
PE Ratio x           10.6 10.7 10.9 10.2  
PEG x           n/a n/a 1.66 1.83
Profitability

INTC tends to grow in spurts and their guide-down was related to the retooling they are doing to launch 10nm chips in 2020 and 7nm chips in 2021 (with Xe graphics that are supposed to be amazing).  Coming out with 2 layers of massively better chips tends to depress current sales (companies put off buying now for better chips next year) 

Also, keep in mind that this is a company spending $13Bn a year on R&D - if they ever need to hit their numbers, a very small R&D cutback would do the trick.  

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