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Thursday, November 7, 2024

Commodities Turn Weak, Suggesting Stocks Will Follow?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Are commodities suggesting a lack of demand is in play on a global basis? Possible! Could this impact stocks? So far it has not!

The chart looks at the Thompson/Reuters Commodities Index over the past 30-years. This index has created a series of lower highs since it peaked back in 2011.

The index has found line (1) to be support and resistance (highs and lows) several times over the past 13-years.

This index kissed the underside of 800-pound dual resistance two months ago at (2) and selling pressure drove it quickly lower last month.

Doc Copper, Crude Oil, and Yields and commodities continue to decline in price, should this be of concern for stock investors?

As this time this phrase comes to mind; “It doesn’t matter until it matters!”

Doc Copper, Crude Oil, and Yields are each testing the lows of last year. If they break down and break below last year’s lows, will they send a concerning message to stocks?

History would suggest that in time, commodities weakness will send a caution message to stocks. We will see if it’s different this time!

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