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Top Trades for Fri, 16 Jul 2021 08:54 – WHR

WHR is, of course, what the Durable Good Report is all about - home appliances.  

The numbers have not been thrilling but WHR is kicking ass with near record profits last year and certainly this year.

Year End 31st Dec 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 TTM 2021E 2022E CAGR / Avg
Total Revenue
$m
20,891 20,718 21,253 21,037 20,419 19,456 20,489 21,844 21,816 -1.41%
Operating Profit
$m
1,242 1,368 1,136 279 1,571 1,623 1,981     5.50%
Net Profit
$m
783 888 350 -183 1,184 1,081 1,362 1,504 1,378 6.66%
EPS Reported
$
9.83 11.5 10.3 -2.93 19.5 17.1 21.4     11.7%
EPS Normalised
$
12.5 14.3 13.5 6.68 16.3 20.4 24.7 23.8 23.2 10.4%
EPS Growth
%
+31.3 +14.6 -5.55 -50.5 +144 +25.0 +95.5 +16.6 -2.49  
PE Ratio
x
          10.9 9.03 9.36 9.60  
PEG
 
          0.656 0.542   3.10  
 

Because the sector is out of favor, this baby has been thrown out with the bath water but $223 is only $14Bn in market cap for a company dropping $1.5Bn to the bottom line with probably 5% sales growth.  They pay a 2.5% ($5) dividend but I just like the good old options play for the Long-Term Portfolio:

  • Sell 5 WHR 2023 $200 puts at $25 ($12,500) 
  • Buy 20 WHR 2023 $200 calls for $42 ($84,000) 
  • Sell 20 WHR 2023 $230 calls for $28 ($56,000) 

That's net $15,500 on the $60,000 spread that's currently $44,000 in the money.  The upside potential is $44,500 (287%) at $230, which is very conservative.  Of course we'll sell some short calls along the way but let's see earnings first.  Selling just 5 Sept $230 calls for $7.50 would bring in $3,750 for 63 of the 553 days we have to sell, so we're in no hurry.  

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