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Saturday, November 23, 2024

Top Trade Alert – Oct 4 2022 – Tanger Factory Outlets (SKT)

For the first time in almost five years now, we’ll have…more new stores opening in the U.S. than closures,’’ Brian Kingston, managing partner at Brookfield Property Group, said on a recent call with investors. “And these net new 2,600 stores will require an estimated 23 million square feet of space.”

That’s about 100,000 jobs too!

While many middle- and lower-quality malls are still struggling, operators of high-end, Class A malls—such as Brookfield, Simon Property Group and Macerich Co.—have seen occupancy rates recover from pandemic dips to more than 90%, according to the companies and Morgan Stanley.

Time to dip back into our old pals at SKT, who are back down to $14 and still paying an 0.80 dividend (5.7%). That’s good enough for the Dividend Portfolio:

    • Buy 2,000 shares SKT at $14.02 ($28,040)
    • Sell 20 2025 $13 calls for $4 ($8,000)
    • Sell 20 2025 $13 puts for $2.50 ($5,000)

That’s net $15,040 out of pocket, netting us in for $7.51/share and, if assigned 2,000 more at $13, our average would be $10.255 on 4,000 shares.

 

Since we know we love them, for the LTP, let’s:

    • Sell 20 SKT 2025 $15 puts for $3.80 ($7,600)
    • Buy 30 SKT 2025 $8 calls for $7.15 ($21,450)
    • Sell 30 SKT 2025 $15 calls for $3.30 ($9,900)

That’s net $3,950 on the $21,000 spread with $17,050 (431%) upside potential at $15 – no too much to ask. We’re aggressive on the short puts but, as noted in the Dividend Portfolio, we certainly don’t mind being assigned and doubling down – so not really that risky.

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