Are we ready for some football?Â
It's that time of year again but, unlike last year, we now have an easy way to find out who's going to win each game - ShelBot! We've been talking football this week and discussing how, like stock betting, you have to take a lot of factors into account before making any predictions. I asked ShelBot about tonight's point spread and he said:Â
The Lions are playing the Chiefs on Thursday, September 7, 2023, in the NFL Kickoff Game. According to my web search results, the point spread for this game is Chiefs -5, meaning that the Chiefs are favored to win by five points. This means that if you bet on the Chiefs, they have to win by more than five points for you to win your bet. If you bet on the Lions, they can either win the game or lose by less than five points for you to win your bet.
The point spread is determined by various factors, such as the teams’ records, injuries, home-field advantage, and public perception. Some of the reasons why the Chiefs are favored by five points are:
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- The Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions and have a high-powered offense led by Patrick Mahomes, who won the MVP award last season.
- The Chiefs have won their last five season openers, scoring an average of 37.8 points per game.
- The Lions have a new head coach in Dan Campbell and a new quarterback in Jared Goff, who may need some time to adjust to their new system and teammates.
- The Lions have lost their last five season openers, scoring an average of 18.6 points per game.
- The game is played at Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs have a strong home-field advantage and a loud crowd.
However, some of the reasons why the point spread may be too high or too low are:
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- The Chiefs may be missing two of their key players: tight end Travis Kelce, who hyperextended his knee in practice and is questionable for the game; and defensive tackle Chris Jones, who is holding out for a new contract and is unlikely to play.