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Wednesday, December 25, 2024

PhilStockWorld Top Trade Alert – Oct 24, 2023 – SQQQ and BCS

There are several great trade ideas from the morning post at PSW as we're back on Bloomberg TV tomorrow - adjusting our Money Talk Portfolio but the two new ones we're adding are very appropriate as Top Trade Ideas. 

The first is SQQQ, which is similar to the Member Trade we did on October 13th. I love it because we'll almost certainly end up with $110,000 worth of free insurance after making an initial $20,000 investment in our hedge.  

The second play is BCS - who just disappointed on earnings today but it's nothing we didn't expect and we like it as a long-term pick-up here:

Given the overall uncertainty in the markets, I’d like to place a hedge in the portfolio BUT, given the overall uncertainty – I’d like not to have a big loss if the market keeps going up. Two weeks ago, we came up with a clever hedging solution for our Members for our Short-Term Portfolio and, for the Money Talk Portfolio, I’m going to do something very similar to what we did on the 13th:

      • Buy 100 SQQQ 2025 $20 calls for $6.70 ($67,000)
      • Sell 40 SQQQ 2025 $30 calls for $5.00 ($20,000)
      • Sell 60 SQQQ Jan $35 calls for $4.50 ($27,000)

What we have is a net $20,000 investment in a potentially $130,000 spread. SQQQ is a 3x inverse ETF on the Nasdaq so, for it to gain 75% to $35, the Nasdaq would have to drop 25%. Hopefully that does not happen but, if it does, we make $110,000 to offset our losses.  

There’s also an income-producing component here as we sold 60 of the Jan $35 calls short for $27,000 and that’s using just 87 of the 451 days we have to sell so, if the Nasdaq does not pop higher, in January we’ll sell another set of short calls and another in April an, before you know it – we have FREE INSURANCE!

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