6.1 C
New York
Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Top Trades for Mon, 28 Sep 2020 11:19 – PFE & T

Good morning!

We blew over 3,333 (/ES) but that will make it a better short on the way back down - if we do go back down.  Russell if flying at the 2.5% line (1,505) so we'll see how that goes.

We discussed PFE in the Morning Report:  The Week Ahead – 3,350 is Critical for the S&P 500

Let's add PFE officially to the LTP as it's a solid entry:

  • Sell 15 PFE 2023 $35 puts for $6.60 ($9,900)
  • Buy 50 PFE 2023 $30 calls for $8 ($40,000) 
  • Sell 50 PFE 2023 $37 calls for $4.60 ($23,000) 

That's net $8,000 on the $35,000 spread so our upside potential is $27,000 (337%) and our worst-case scenario is owning 5,000 shares at $35, which I doubt will be a bad thing. 

We will, of course, sell some short calls, like 10 Nov $37 calls at $1.45 would use up 53 of our 844 days so not even 10% and if we collect $1,450 10 times, that's $14,500, adding 50% to our potential profits - but we'll only sell when we feel PFE is toppy - and it isn't at the moment.

On the Big Chart, watch the NYSE and the 200 dma at 12,372 - safe for now at 12,686 on today's 200-point pop.  Otherwise, we'll see if we can get back over and hold those 50 dma lines but all are being death-crossed by the 20 dmas - there's no stopping that from happening. 

T/Millard - We love T when it's cheap and $28 is cheap.   T is already in the LTP and the same position is still good (because it's cheaper now):

T Long Call 2022 21-JAN 28.00 CALL [T @ $28.04 $0.00] 75 9/3/2020 (480) $25,500 $3.40 $-1.06 $3.40     $2.34 $0.00 $-7,950 -31.2% $17,550
T Short Call 2022 21-JAN 33.00 CALL [T @ $28.04 $0.00] -75 9/3/2020 (480) $-10,500 $1.40 $-0.54     $0.87 $0.00 $4,013 38.2% $-6,488
T Short Put 2022 21-JAN 28.00 PUT [T @ $28.04 $0.00] -25 9/3/2020 (480) $-8,125 $3.25 $0.50     $3.75 $0.00 $-1,250 -15.4% $-9,375

BRK.B/Stuart

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